The Yankees and Jordan Montgomery (6-4, 3.62 ERA) will match-up against the Brewers’ 32 year old RHP Junior Guerra tonight (1-3, 4.93 ERA). Guerra relies primarily on his 4-seam fastball (92 mph) and mixes in a sinker (92 mph), splitter (84 mph) and slider (81 mph). Guerra is the Brewers’ ace, and was the opening day starter in 2017. However, while 2016 was his break-out season, he has struggled recently with both his velocity and location, leading to some poor outings. In his last outing against the Marlins, his fastball velocity dipped to 90 mph from his 92 mph average, and he lasted only 4 innings and gave up 4 runs in a 10-3 loss. Guerra has never faced the Yankees.
Basic description of 2017 pitches compared to other RHP:
His four-seam fastball has less arm-side movement than typical, has essentially average velo and has some added backspin. His sinker has less arm-side run than typical, has little sinking action compared to a true sinker and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers’ sinkers. His splitter has surprising cut action, generates more whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers’ splitters, has movement that suggests a lot of backspin and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers’ splitters. His slider has exceptional depth, has short glove-side cut, has below average velo and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers’ sliders. Brooks Baseball
The Yankee offense, which has been struggling of late, could feast on Guerra’s lack of command and average velocity tonight.